Insignia generada en: 31-10-2023
In the first chapter of the book, each author (or authors) formulates a diagnosis, a trend prognosis, raises visions for change and culminates with reflections on each of the 15 Challenges. At the beginning of each chapter, there is a portrait of the author and his or her message to the reader.
The second chapter includes a presentation of the Scenarios towards 2050 and the 45 key factors emanating from the authors' essays, which served as the basis for the experts to formulate the three Scenarios called: "National Plenitude" for the desirable, "Futures Mexico" for the possible and "Agony and Desolation" for the catastrophic.
The third chapter includes proposals of Ideas for Guiding Projects, which are the detonators for the redirection of the country towards a better future. The intention is to provide background, inputs, and evidence for the designers, executors, and evaluators of public policies of government bodies at the federal, state, and municipal levels, in their executive, legislative and judicial spheres; scientific, and academic institutions; civil society organizations; and international organizations, so they can act within the framework of an innovative ecosystem for younger generations.
array(3) { [0]=> object(stdClass)#740 (5) { ["noshare"]=> bool(true) ["role"]=> object(stdClass)#739 (3) { ["code"]=> string(3) "A01" ["label"]=> string(28) "Menciones de responsabilidad" ["value"]=> string(5) "Autor" } ["name"]=> string(23) "Concepción Olavarrieta" ["nameinverted"]=> string(24) "Olavarrieta, Concepción" ["nameinverted2"]=> string(34) "[[NOSHARE]]Concepción~Olavarrieta" } [1]=> object(stdClass)#738 (5) { ["noshare"]=> bool(true) ["role"]=> object(stdClass)#737 (3) { ["code"]=> string(3) "A01" ["label"]=> string(28) "Menciones de responsabilidad" ["value"]=> string(5) "Autor" } ["name"]=> string(18) "Guillermo Gándara" ["nameinverted"]=> string(19) "Gándara, Guillermo" ["nameinverted2"]=> string(29) "[[NOSHARE]]Guillermo~Gándara" } [2]=> object(stdClass)#736 (5) { ["noshare"]=> bool(true) ["role"]=> object(stdClass)#735 (3) { ["code"]=> string(3) "A01" ["label"]=> string(28) "Menciones de responsabilidad" ["value"]=> string(5) "Autor" } ["name"]=> string(13) "Jorge Máttar" ["nameinverted"]=> string(14) "Máttar, Jorge" ["nameinverted2"]=> string(24) "[[NOSHARE]]Jorge~Máttar" } }
Mexico 2050. Challenges, Scenarios & Actions. Monterrey: Editorial Digital Tecnológico de Monterrey, 2023. Epub. https://altexto.mx/mexico-2050-challenges-scenarios-actions-dfatp.html.
Mexico 2050. Challenges, Scenarios & Actions. Monterrey: Editorial Digital Tecnológico de Monterrey, 2023. Impreso. https://altexto.mx/mexico-2050-challenges-scenarios-actions-dfatp.html.
Mexico 2050. Challenges, Scenarios & Actions. Editorial Digital Tecnológico de Monterrey, 2023, https://altexto.mx/mexico-2050-challenges-scenarios-actions-dfatp.html, Accedida 15 May 2024.
Mexico 2050. Challenges, Scenarios & Actions. Monterrey: Editorial Digital Tecnológico de Monterrey, 2023 [En línea]. Disponible en: https://altexto.mx/mexico-2050-challenges-scenarios-actions-dfatp.html
(2023). Mexico 2050. Challenges, Scenarios & Actions. Editorial Digital Tecnológico de Monterrey. https://altexto.mx/mexico-2050-challenges-scenarios-actions-dfatp.html
Mexico 2050. Challenges, Scenarios & Actions. Monterrey: Editorial Digital Tecnológico de Monterrey, 2023. https://altexto.mx/mexico-2050-challenges-scenarios-actions-dfatp.html
Mexico 2050. Challenges, Scenarios & Actions. Monterrey: Editorial Digital Tecnológico de Monterrey; 2023 [Citado 2024May15]. Disponible en: https://altexto.mx/mexico-2050-challenges-scenarios-actions-dfatp.html
Profesional / académico
Destinatarios del contenido: Sin restricción
About this Publishing House
About the Authors
Dedication
Acknowledgments
Foreword
Introduction
First part. 15 Challenges Towards 2050
Challenge 1: Sustainable Development, Climate Change, and National Security
1.1 Introduction
1.1.1 Sustainable Development
1.1.2 Climate Change
1.1.3 National Security
1.2 Challenges
1.3 Mexico's Commitments
1.4 Futurible Scenarios 2050
1.5 Futurible Scenarios 2050
1.6 Thoughts and Requirements
1.7 References
Challenge 2: Clean Water for Everyone
2.1 Water in Mexico
2.2 Current Problems
2.2.1 The Big Problems
2.2.2 Water Management
2.2.3 Water Use
2.2.4 Water Quality
2.3 Visions of the Future
2.3.1 The Water Crisis and Some Trends in Sight
2.3.2 Trend Scenario
2.4 Challenges and Opportunities
2.4.1 Main Challenges
2.4.2 Opportunities
2.5 Final Thoughts
2.6 References
Challenge 3. The Horn of Scarcity and its People
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Five Key Points
3.3 Contextualization of the Key Points
3.3.1 Demographic Transition
3.3.2 Fall in the Fertility Rate
3.3.3 Increasing Level of Urbanization
3.3.4 Land Degradation
3.3.5 Loss of Ecosystems and Biodiversity
3.4 Future Trends Vision
3.4.1 Trends for the Demographic Transition
3.4.2 Trends for Levels of Urbanization
3.4.3 Trends for Loss of Biodiversity
3.5 Aspirational Futures Vision
3.6 Final Thoughts
3.7 References
Challenge 4: Democracy in Mexico
4.1 Introduction
4.2 The Challenges of Democratization in Mexico
4.2.1 Guaranteeing Citizens’ Rights
4.2.2 Social and Economic Integration of Citizens
4.2.3 Alternatives to Traditional Forms of Participation
4.2.4 Creating Responsive and Democratic Institutions
4.2.5 A Political Culture for Democracy
4.3 Challenges of Democracy in Mexico: Future Vision
4.3.1 Deepening and Guaranteeing Political Rights and Civil Liberties of the Population
4.3.2 Social and Economic Integration
4.3.3 Seeking Alternatives to Traditional Forms of Participation
4.3.4 Responsive and Democratic Institutions
4.3.5 Building A Political Culture for Democracy
4.4 References
Challenge 5: Long-Term Mexican Policies and Decision-Making
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Background of the Mexican Political System
5.2.1 Decision-making at the Presidential Stage
5.2.2 Party Alternation and the Crisis of the Political System
5.3 Government Policy Crisis
5.3.1 World Trend
5.3.2 Government Model Crisis
5.3.3 SWOT Diagnosis of Mexico
5.4 Aspects for the Implementation of Government Policies
5.5 Paradigm Shift
5.6 Reflections
5.7 References
Challenge 6: Foresight of the Convergence of Information and Communication Technologies in Mexico by 2050
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Trend Vision
6.2.1 Where is Global and Regional Digital Development Heading?
6.2.2 How to Leverage Digital Technologies to Generate Social and Economic Impact?
6.3 Aspirational Vision
6.3.1 Reverse Signature Models, Platforms and Blockchain to Promote New Zero Marginal Cost Business Models
6.3.2 Artificial Intelligence as the Basis for Knowledge Generation
6.3.3 The Development of IXP, IPV6 and 5G+ Networks as Platforms for Mobility, Transport, Digital and Internet of Things Access
6.4 Reflections
6.5 References
Challenge 7: Reducing the Gap Between Poverty and Wealth in Mexico by 2050
7.1 Introduction
7.1.1 Theoretical Approaches
7.2 Analysis of The Situation in Mexico: Mexico, a Country of Inequalities
7.2.1 Economic Inequality
7.2.2 The Inequality Reflected in the Other Social Gaps: Education, Health, Social Security and Access to Basic Services
7.2.3 Job Insecurity and Wage Gap
7.2.4 Inequality and Social Programs
7.3 Factors of Change to Build a Humane, Competitive, and Participatory Mexico
7.3.1 Factors of Change
7.4 Actors of Change: with Whom and Who?
7.5 Building the Foundations to Reduce the Gap
7.5.1 Inequality and the Educational Gap
7.5.2 Inequality, the Pay Gap, and Fiscal Policy
7.6 Value Proposition: Seven Strategies to Reduce the Gap Between Poverty and Wealth
7.6.1 The Possible Aspiration: from Strategy to Action in the Mexico of 2050
7.7 Final Thoughts
7.8 References
Challenge 8: Health Foresight for Mexico 2050
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Summary of the Five Key Points of the Challenge
8.2.1 The Health System in Mexico
8.2.2 Population Characteristics
8.2.3 Economic Aspect
8.2.4 Resources
8.2.5 New Markets
8.3 Current Situation
8.3.1 The Healthcare System in Mexico
8.3.2 Health in the Mexican Population
8.3.3 Healthcare Budget
8.3.4 Healthcare Resources
8.3.5 New Healthcare Markets
8.4 Future Vision
8.4.1 The Trends
8.4.2 The Aspiration
8.5 Final Considerations
8.6 References
Challenge 9: Mexican Education Foresight in 2050
9.1 Introduction: Liquid Times
9.2 Signs of the Future
9.2.1 The Debate on the Future of Education
9.2.2 Mexico: Slow Progress, Past Burdens, and Liquid Future
9.2.3 From Reform to Reconversion of the Neoliberal Model
9.3 Is There a Future? An Approach to Alternative Scenarios
9.3.1 Trends: The Balkanization of Education
9.3.2 The Desirable Possibility: Resilience as a Transition to Postmodernity
9.3.3 Future
9.4 Final Thoughts
9.4.1 Future Predictions
9.5 References
Challenge 10: Peace and Conflict in Mexico
10.1 Introduction
10.2 First Source of Conflict
10.3 Second Source of Conflict
10.4 Types of Conflicts in Mexico
10.5 Future Vision
10.6 Final Thoughts
10.7 References
Challenge 11: Gender Equality Perspective
11.1 Introduction
11.2 Identification of Key Points
11.3 Development of Key Points
11.3.1 Safety for Women and Girls
11.3.2 Teenage Pregnancies
11.3.3 Access to Power
11.3.4 Work 4.0 Women and STEM Girls
11.3.5 Sustainability
11.4 Future Trends Vision
11.4.1 Trends for Jobs and Political Access
11.4.2 Trends for the Sustainability of Women and Girls in Mexico
11.4.3 Aspirational Futures Vision
11.5 Recommendations on the Situation and Future of Women and Girls in Mexico
11.6 Final Thoughts
11.7 References
Challenge 12: And What Happened to Transnational Organized Crime?
12.1 Introduction
12.2 TOC in Mexico from 1930 to 2018
12.2.1 The Cartels
12.2.2 Main Crimes
12.3 International Mafias and their Alliances in Mexico
12.4 What about TOC Income?
12.5 What about Public Security Spending?
12.6 Actions for Prevention
12.6.1 Risk Factors and Successful Programs
12.6.2 Merida Initiative
12.7 The Activism of Mexican NGOs
12.8 Visions of Society towards 2050
12.9 Towards a Desired Scenario
12.10 Our Reflections
12.11 References
Challenge 13: Five Energy Challenges for Mexico by 2050
13.1 Introduction
13.2 Five Energy Challenges
13.2.1 Energy Security
13.2.2 Energy Transition
13.2.3 The Formation of Specialized Human Capital
13.2.4 Technological Development and Innovation
13.2.5 Socio-Environmental Impacts and Conflicts
13.3 State-of-the-Art Scenarios
13.3.1 Energy Security
13.3.2 Energy Transition
13.3.3 The Formation of Specialized Human Capital
13.3.4 Technological Development and Innovation
13.3.5 Socio-Environmental Impacts and Conflicts
13.4 Future Vision
13.5 Final Thoughts
13.6 References
Challenge 14: Scientific, Technological, and Social Innovation Foresight in Mexico Towards 2050
14.1 Introduction
14.2 Diagnosis
14.2.1 Analysis of the Current Situation
14.2.2 Need for Transformation
14.2.3 Determining Innovation Processes
14.3 Desirable Model and its Characterization
14.3.1 Key Points to Propel Innovation
14.4 Trend Forecast
14.5 Vision
14.6 Reflections
14.7 References
Challenge 15: Public Ethics and the Values of the Mexican Public Official by 2050
15.1 Introduction
15.2 Background of Public Ethics in Mexico
15.3 Public Ethics in Mexico at the Dawn of the 21st century
15.4 Where are Ethics Going?
15.4.1 Continue down the Same Path
15.4.2 Turn towards to the Original Path of Politics
15.4.3 Institutionalize Ethics in Governments and Public Administrations
15.5 Final Thoughts
15.6 References
Second part. Scenarios to 2050
Characterization of Scenarios and Their Key Factors
16.1 References
Desirable Scenario: National Plenitude – A Democratic, Fair, and Peaceful Mexico
Possible Scenario: Futures Mexico – The Eternal Promise
18.1 Introduction
18.2 The Attempt to Build a Better Mexico
18.3 The Diagnosis
18.4 Prospective Vision
18.5 The Possible Scenario: The Eternal Promise
18.6 State, Government, and Democracy
18.7 Sustainable Development and the Economy
18.8 Social Development
18.9 Final Comments
Catastrophic Scenario: Agony and Desolation – Mutilated Unpunished, and Atrocious Mexico
19.1 Key Determining Factors of the Scenarios
Third part. Guiding Projects
Legal notice